Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236618           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104846           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.72562e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             2.50       23.50       53.25       17.50        3.25     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1