Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236676           1          32          57           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102878           3          15          57          22           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.73765e-07           1           0          51          42           6        C9.0
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.00       25.25       50.00       19.00        2.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1