Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234305           4          48          36          11           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000998543           1          16          56          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.63855e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             5.75       30.75       45.75       15.75        2.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2