Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234201           4          45          38          12           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100057           1          17          56          24           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.18505e-07           2           0          63          32           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       19.25       56.50       20.25        1.75     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1