Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234112           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996011           2          20          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.70915e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C5.8
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       21.25       55.75       18.00        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7