Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233874           3          42          41          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000983393           3          20          52          22           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.02001e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.00       21.50       54.25       19.50        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8