Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234323           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000988318           2          18          53          24           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.49759e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C6.0
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       25.25       52.50       17.00        2.50     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5