Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235624           4          39          47           9           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100896           1          17          54          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.06283e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.25       26.00       47.50       20.25        3.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      X1.5