Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238013           5          26          56          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104685           3          16          59          18           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.82026e-07           1           0          36          54           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.25       15.75       53.50       23.25        4.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.6