Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238901           5          17          57          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106359           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   9.79727e-07           1           0          36          54           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.25        9.75       55.75       28.25        4.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3