Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241174           3          13          66          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110467           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.13896e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             2.00        7.75       52.75       30.50        7.00     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2