Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241203           3          13          66          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113010           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.00375e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        4.25       56.50       31.25        6.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0