Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243083           2          15          59          21           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115536           3           3          72          20           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.16396e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.75        4.50       57.50       30.00        6.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4