Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247094           2          12          56          24           6        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121726           1           4          65          27           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.58407e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.00        4.25       54.50       33.50        6.75     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C9.9