Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245839           2          14          53          23           8        C6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120651           1           4          61          30           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.37332e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        5.75       51.00       34.50        7.75     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1