Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243657           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117325           3           3          66          26           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.23442e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        4.75       52.75       34.00        6.50     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0