Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242159           2          13          62          19           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115419           3           3          72          20           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.03906e-06           1           0          29          59          11        M1.5
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             1.75        4.25       57.75       30.75        5.50     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6