Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243724           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117453           3           4          66          25           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.33499e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00        4.25       55.25       32.00        6.50     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2