Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240672           3          13          65          17           2        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112839           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   8.97031e-07           1           0          48          45           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00        4.25       64.00       25.00        4.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1