Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240163           2          14          63          20           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111882           3           6          64          18           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.45658e-07           1           0          51          39           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.25        7.50       60.50       24.50        5.25     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3