Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237515           3          25          60          10           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105913           2          14          59          20           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   7.04682e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       15.00       59.75       18.25        4.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2