Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235406           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101629           1          17          58          22           2        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   5.34077e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.50       27.25       49.75       18.00        1.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3