Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232115           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000955764           1          34          51          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.10640e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.75       35.50       51.00        8.50        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8