Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230955          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936598           4          40          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.18631e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       44.50       41.50        8.00        0.00     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4