Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230187          11          42          38           9           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000920797           7          49          38           6           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   1.75232e-07          11          46          36           7           0        B8.5
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             8.75       47.75       35.50        8.00        0.00     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5