Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230134          12          42          37           9           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919816           7          52          35           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.80390e-07           8          44          40           8           0        B9.8
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             8.25       48.00       35.50        8.25        0.00     B8.3
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1