Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229587          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915598           8          50          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.54837e-07          10          62          24           4           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             8.75       49.50       35.25        6.50        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7