Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230390          10          42          37          11           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000925578           6          47          41           6           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   1.86993e-07           6          45          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.50       47.00       38.00        7.50        0.00     B8.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.5