Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230936          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000940207           1          37          51          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.23294e-07           3          42          50           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            10.75       42.25       39.75        7.25        0.00     B8.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7