Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231988           8          40          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959764           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.92876e-07           3          24          65           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =             1          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            16.00       33.50       43.50        6.75        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)