Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233107           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975891           3          25          51          18           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.01609e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             6.50       35.00       45.50       12.00        1.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6