Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234621           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100724           1          16          56          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.76327e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.00       29.75       48.75       16.25        1.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3