Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235739           4          36          49          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102523           3          17          53          23           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   6.01923e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.25       26.75       49.75       18.25        2.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0