Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236715           1          31          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105195           3          14          57          21           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.54755e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00       15.00       59.25       20.00        3.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4