Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239498           3          13          60          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108898           2          15          63          16           4        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.85112e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.50        8.00       59.00       27.75        3.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.6