Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237029           1          29          57          12           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104669           3          16          59          18           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.22786e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            96           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             0.75       11.50       61.75       22.50        3.50     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3