Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239597           2          12          62          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108684           3          15          65          14           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.40495e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =           100           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.50        7.00       61.25       25.75        4.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6