Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238118           5          25          55          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107582           2          13          67          16           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.91209e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.25        9.75       61.50       22.75        3.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8