Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240623           3          13          65          17           2        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110365           2          12          64          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.94354e-07           1           0          33          56          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.25       10.50       55.75       26.50        5.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7