Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227958          15          46          35           4           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103852           3          19          55          18           5        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.08051e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                            20.50       30.00       38.25        9.75        1.50     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5