Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224547          28          43          25           4           0        B4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000972998           2          26          51          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.80872e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             9.00       24.50       51.50       13.75        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0