Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224085          28          44          24           4           0        B4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979581           3          22          52          20           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.34398e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             9.25       28.00       50.00       11.25        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5