Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223116          28          51          18           3           0        B2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947124           1          34          51          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.54206e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             9.75       34.25       46.00        9.75        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2