Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230340          10          41          38          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922806           6          50          38           6           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   3.10732e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             8.00       39.75       45.00        7.25        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4