Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229658          12          41          38           9           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000887091           5          44          41          10           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.70008e-07          11          52          31           6           0        B7.5
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             8.00       41.25       42.50        8.00        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B7.0