Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231026           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000931179           3          43          45           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.38611e-07           3          31          57           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             5.25       40.50       44.50        9.75        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1