Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233788           3          46          39          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987745           3          19          52          23           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.49908e-07           2           1          83          12           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             2.00       21.00       60.50       15.00        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2