Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234845           4          43          42          10           1        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100705           1          16          56          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.17424e-07           2           0          63          33           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       19.50       55.75       20.75        1.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5