Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237640           3          25          61           9           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105327           3          15          57          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.44252e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       14.75       57.00       22.00        3.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5