Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240237           2          13          63          20           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107777           2          12          66          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   9.24830e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.50        7.50       59.75       26.50        4.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1